People Patterns Consulting

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Publications

Canada Job
Trends Update
2012
- National, Provincial
and City Labour Markets

Canadian
Gender Realities
2010
- Men and
Women at home,
at work and play -
National and
Provincial Trends

Labour Crunch to
2021
- National
and Provincial
Labour Force
Projections

Provincial People
Patterns 2007
- Social and
Demographic Trends

Canadian Age
Trends and
Transitions to
2016
- How We Are Shaping Our
Shared Future
(2003)

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Publications

Canada Job Trends Update 2012
National, Provincial and City Labour Markets

Labour market information (LMI) is Roger Sauvι’s stock in trade. His blend of expertise provides a snapshot of information literacy in action. (Janis Foord Kirk, in a WORKOPOLIS article in the Toronto Star)

The report is easy to read and will both substantiate and challenge the reader's notions of the economy and the labour market in Canada today. (From a review in Contact Point, a website for Career Development Practitioners)

In this eleventh edition, the author presents a factual, hard-hitting, and objective 84-page report on the labour market in Canada, the provinces and cities. Complete with lively commentary, charts, tables and provincial and city rankings. Author Roger Sauvι, is President of People Patterns Consulting and has been widely quoted in the national media including the Globe and Mail, Toronto Star, The National Post, Maclean’s, MoneySense, Canadian Business, CBC, CTV, The Wall Street Journal and many others.

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Table of contents

  • TOP 7 TRENDS - Jobs increase, youth recession, shortages, aging workforce, family trends, decreased earnings and city trends
  • INTRODUCTION - Updated annual trends plus Census Profiles
  • SHORT-TERM OVERVIEW - Jobs flattens in early 2012 but unemployment still improving
  • TRENDS
  • UNEMPLOYMENT RATES IMPROVE AGAIN IN 2011
    • National – Long-term unemployment improves a bit in 2011
    • Provincial – Newfoundland has lowest rate in over three decades
    • Major cities - Ontario CMAs have highest unemployment
  • UNEMPLOYMENT RANGES FROM 4.6% TO 16.4% IN SMALLER CITIES
    • Lowest unemployment in Moose Jaw and Brandon
  • MORE STABLE JOB MARKET IN 2011 AS FEWER LEAVE AND FEWER FIRED
    • National – Fewer fired job leavers and job losers for second year in a row
    • Provincial – School is, by far, the biggest reason for quitting jobs
  • SHORTAGES IN ONE-THIRD OF MAJOR OCCUPATIONS IN 2011
    • National – And shortages in one-quarter of industries in 2011
  • UNEMPLOYMENT DURATION INCREASES A NOTCH IN 2011
    • National – Women take two weeks less to find a job than men do
    • Provincial – A third time in a row – longest unemployment duration is in Ontario
  • JOB SEARCHERS STILL ACTIVELY LOOKING FOR A JOB
    • National – Checking with employers number one in job search
    • Provincial – Internet most popular in Ontario
  • A FEW MORE JOB SEEKERS “NOT LOOKING” IN 2011
    • National – The “discouraged” still up 50% compared to pre-recession year
    • Provincial – Many more women than men not looking for work for family reasons in all provinces
  • JOB GAINS IN NINE PROVINCES IN 2011
    • National – Another 265,000 net new jobs created in 2011
    • Provincial – Only New Brunswick continued to lose jobs in 2011
    • Major CMAs (Census Metropolitan Areas) – 24 of 33 CMAs had job gains in 2011
  • WOOD BUFFALO OUTPACES 45 SMALLER CITIES IN DECADE
    • The medium-term – Jobs in Wood Buffalo (includes Fort McMurray) up 95% from 2000 to 2011
  • GROWING EMPLOYMENT GAP FOR RECENT IMMIGRANTS
    • National – Recent immigrants filled about half of labour force growth from 2001 to 2006
    • Provincial – Recent immigrants fill more than half of new labour force growth in 3 provinces
    • Major cities – Immigrants are now half of total workforce in Toronto
  • FEWER MEN DOING 50 PLUS HOURS PER WEEK
    • National – Workers aged 65+ now working more hours than those under 25 … switch from 1989
    • Provincial – Full-time male workers in Newfoundland worked most hours in 2011
  • UNPAID OVERTIME REMAINS HIGHER THAN PRE-RECESSION
    • National – Senior management and teachers work the most overtime per week … mostly unpaid
    • Provincial – Most likely to work overtime in Saskatchewan and Alberta
  • WORKERS WITH SECOND JOBS HIT ANOTHER NEW RECORD
    • National – Health workers most likely to hold a second job
    • Provincial – Workers in Saskatchewan most likely to moonlight
  • REAL EARNINGS BASICALLY FLAT IN 2010 AND DOWN IN 2011
    • National – Earnings trail inflation in 2011
    • Provincial – Newfoundlanders have biggest real wage gains during decade
  • THE WORKING POOR … WORKING FOR LESS THAN $12 AN HOUR
    • National – Full-time employees make up majority of workers earning less than $12 an hour
    • Provincial – PEI male full-time employees most likely to earn less than $12 per hour
  • UNIONIZATION RATES HIGHER FOR WOMEN
    • National – Unionization rates trend down for men and trend up for women
    • Provincial – Quebec and Newfoundland are the most unionized provinces with Alberta the least
  • FEWER WORKERS “OFF THE JOB” FOR ONLY PART OF THE WEEK
    • National – Over one-quarter of Canadian workers away from work in a typical week
    • Provincial – Fewest days off in Ontario
  • PRIVATE SECTOR EMPLOYEE JOBS UP THE FASTEST IN 2011
    • National – Self- employment flat in 2011
    • Provincial – Public sector employees grew faster than private sector employees in 8 provinces
  • CENSUS PROFILES – COMMUTERS TRAVEL 7.6 KM
    • National – Men commute farther than women
    • Provincial – Prince Edward Island commuters most likely to drive to work
  • MANUFACTURING UP JUST A BIT IN 2011 AFTER 8 YEARS OF DECLINE
    • National – Jobs gains in mining and oil and gas extraction tops in decade
    • Provincial – Alberta and PEI lead growth in over half of all industries in decade
  • SMALL WORKPLACES CREATED MOST OF JOBS IN 2011
    • National – Establishments with 20 to 99 employees created almost half the jobs in 2011
    • Provincial – Even in Quebec and Ontario relatively few work in large (500+) establishments
  • SERVICE OCCUPATIONS UP MOST IN DECADE
    • National – Labourers and trades helpers recovered in 2011
    • Provincial – Ontario and Quebec lead in top two growth occupations
  • CENSUS PROFILES – FASTEST GROWTH IN 522 OCCUPATIONS
    • National – Males working as administrative clerks biggest increase from 2001 to 2006
    • Provincial – New Brunswick led the way in oil and gas drillers
  • CENSUS PROFILES – TOP THREE OCCUPATIONS BY PROVINCE
    • National – Retail salespersons or sales clerks most common occupation for both men and women
    • Provincial – Retail salespersons and retail clerks biggest female occupation in nine provinces
  • CENSUS PROFILES – TOP 15 EARNINGS BY DETAIL OCCUPATION
    • National – Five times more men earn over $100,000 per year than do women
  • UNIVERSITY GRADUATES GOT OVER HALF OF THE NEW JOBS IN 2011
    • National – Women more educated than men
    • Provincial – Ontario has the most university graduates among both men and women
  • CENSUS PROFILES – MORE EDUCATION = MORE DOLLARS
    • National – Additional education has bigger payoff for women
    • Provincial – Alberta earnings mostly higher for all levels of education
  • ABOUT 8 IN 10 WORK AT FULL-TIME (30+ hours) JOBS
    • National – Permanent job ratio moves down in 2011
    • Provincial – Workers in British Columbia least likely to work full-time
  • MANY PART-TIMERS STILL BLAME WEAK BUSINESS CONDITIONS
    • National – No surprise here … seniors prefer part-time work
    • Provincial – More part-timers in Alberta now put blame on a weak economy
  • FEWER MOTHERS WITH CHILDREN WORKING THAN PRE-RECESSION
    • National – Female lone-parents see significant drop in employment rates
    • Provincial – Female lone-parents with children 6-15 most likely to be employed in Saskatchewan
  • CENSUS PROFILES - WOMEN DO MORE UNPAID HOME DUTIES
    • National – The male/female unpaid gap is largest for housework
    • Provincial – The male/female unpaid gap is smallest in Quebec
  • JOB TENURE IN FULL-TIME JOBS DOWN FOR MALES, UP FOR FEMALES
    • National – Shortest tenure is for food and beverage workers
    • Provincial – Saskatchewan males have longest job tenure
  • THE GREY WAVE IS GETTING GREYER
    • National – Those aged 45 and up comprised 85% of the labour force growth in 2011
    • Provincial – Atlantic Provinces have the most older workers, Alberta the fewest
  • RETIREMENT DELAYED FOR THIRD YEAR AMONG MEN
    • National – Record rates for those aged 60+ who remain at paid work
    • Provincial – Workers in three provinces retire before 60 … the rest work one to four more years
  • ALBERTA REGAINS “BEST FOR YOUTH ” PRIZE
    • National – Youth employment up a bit in 2011 after two awful down years
    • Provincial youth rankings - Alberta ranks #1, Quebec moves to #3, Nova Scotia at the bottom

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